PricedNews / World / Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World · settles by Jun 30, 2027
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$11.5M traded on Polymarket, $152K in the past day.
Ulf Kristersson
53.5%
24h ▲15.17d ▲28.7
Magdalena Andersson
42.5%
24h ▼4.07d ▼27.5
How it has moved
Daily closeUlf KristerssonMagdalena AnderssonEbba Busch
The numbers behind the chart
| Date | Ulf Kristersson | Magdalena Andersson | Ebba Busch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 15.5% | 66.5% | 6.3% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 26.5% | 59% | 2% |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 38.5% | 55.5% | 1.4% |
| May 26, 2026 | 19.5% | 75.5% | 0.4% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 19.5% | 73.5% | 0.4% |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 15.5% | 83.5% | 1.1% |
| Sep 27, 2026 | 11.5% | 85.5% | 1.5% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 53.5% | 42.5% | 0.9% |
About this market
Who prices it. $11.5M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $152K of it in the past day, with $1.0M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Ulf Kristersson is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week Ulf Kristersson is up 28.6 points.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by June 30, 2027, 235 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
Every outcome
53.5%Ulf Kristersson▲28.7 7d
42.5%Magdalena Andersson▼27.5 7d
0.9%Ebba Busch▼1.3 7d
0.3%Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist▼1.4 7d
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Moves we wrote up
Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Ulf Kristersson rises 5.1 points in an hour
Next Prime Minister of Sweden: Magdalena Andersson falls 6.0 points in an hour
Questions
What are the odds: Next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ulf Kristersson is at 53.5% on Polymarket as of 03:10 UTC, Nov 8, with $11.5M traded.
When does it settle?
By June 30, 2027.