Who prices it. $35K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $1K of it in the past day, with $151K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Haniff Hoosen is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 4, 2026, 16 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
Every outcome
44.0%Haniff Hoosen▲9.5 7d
31.1%Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi▲2.0 7d
10.5%Mkhuleko Hlengwa▲3.0 7d
5.4%Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi▼2.0 7d
5.1%Philani Mavundla▼4.9 7d
4.4%Thabani Nyawose▼11.1 7d
3.8%Cyril Xaba▲0.9 7d
0.5%Zandile Gumede▼0.1 7d
0.3%Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi0.0 7d
0.3%Maggie Govender▼0.1 7d
0.3%Zwakele Mncwango0.0 7d
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
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