PricedNews / Weather & Climate / Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30
Weather & Climate · settles by Dec 1, 2026
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
$117K traded on Polymarket, $409 in the past day.
1.00 to 2.99 ft
75.6%
24h ▼0.57d ▲16.5
-1.00 to 0.99 ft
21.0%
24h ▲5.57d ▲8.5
How it has moved
Daily close1.00 to 2.99 ft-1.00 to 0.99 ft-3.00 to -1.01 ft
The numbers behind the chart
| Date | 1.00 to 2.99 ft | -1.00 to 0.99 ft | -3.00 to -1.01 ft |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | 24.5% | 20.5% | 21.5% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 15.5% | 49.5% | 17.5% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 22.5% | 22.5% | 5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 26% | 21% | 17.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 21% | 24% | 35.1% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 5% | 46% | 34.7% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 40.6% | 26.5% | 8.3% |
| Nov 8, 2026 | 75.6% | 21% | 7.6% |
About this market
Who prices it. $117K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $409 of it in the past day, with $6K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 1.00 to 2.99 ft is 10.4 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders. How to read these odds.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No single hour or day crossed our alert threshold this week. Over the week 1.00 to 2.99 ft is up 16.4 points.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 1, 2026, 24 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the lowest gage height (river level), in feet, recorded at the Mississippi River at St.
Every outcome
75.6%1.00 to 2.99 ft▲16.5 7d
21.0%-1.00 to 0.99 ft▲8.5 7d
7.5%-3.00 to -1.01 ft▼1.5 7d
0.3%3.00 ft or more▼16.6 7d
0.1%Below -3.00 ft▼2.5 7d
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.
Moves we wrote up
Questions
What are the odds: Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
1.00 to 2.99 ft is at 75.6% on Polymarket as of 02:11 UTC, Nov 8, with $117K traded.
How does this market settle?
This market will resolve according to the lowest gage height (river level), in feet, recorded at the Mississippi River at St.
When does it settle?
By December 1, 2026.