Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:57 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026
Economy · settles by Oct 30, 2026

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

$64K traded on Polymarket, $236 in the past day. Prices are delayed.

1.0-1.2%
41.5%
24h ▼1.57d ▲0.5
1.3%+
40.5%
24h ▲0.57d ▼5.5

How it has moved

Daily close
1.0-1.2%1.3%+0.7-0.9%
0%25%50%75%100%SepOct41.5%40.5%13.5%

About this market

Who prices it. $64K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $236 of it in the past day, with $9K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 1.0-1.2% is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 30, 2026, 10 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.

Every outcome

41.5%1.0-1.2%▲0.5 7d
40.5%1.3%+▼5.5 7d
13.5%0.7-0.9%▲3.0 7d
4.3%0.4-0.6%0.0 7d
1.5%0.1-0.3%▲0.5 7d
0.5%≤0.0%▲0.1 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.