What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$3.4M traded on Polymarket, $293K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $3.4M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $293K of it in the past day, with $820K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Below $95 is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. The biggest move in the past week: ↓ $95 went from 52.5% to 92.5% on October 20, 2026. The latest headline we matched to it is “U.S. crude oil tops $105, Brent crude at five-month highs amid Mideast tensions” (CNBC, October 20, 2026).
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 31, 2026, 12 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Every outcome
These add up to 179%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.