Bank of Russia decision in October?
$155K traded on Polymarket, $53K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $155K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $53K of it in the past day, with $37K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on No Change is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 23, 2026, 4 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.