Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:58 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Economy · settles by Dec 31, 2027

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0M traded on Polymarket, $43K in the past day.

$1.75–$2.0T
25.5%
24h 0.07d 0.0
$2.0–$2.25T
21.1%
24h ▼1.67d ▼5.7

How it has moved

Daily close
$1.75–$2.0T$2.0–$2.25T$1.5–$1.75T
0%12.5%25%37.5%50%JulAugSepOct25.5%21.2%17.2%

About this market

Who prices it. $2.0M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $43K of it in the past day, with $227K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on $1.75–$2.0T is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2027, 438 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Every outcome

25.5%$1.75–$2.0T0.0 7d
21.1%$2.0–$2.25T▼5.7 7d
17.2%$1.5–$1.75T▲7.0 7d
12.5%$2.25–$2.5T▼5.5 7d
9.3%$1.25–$1.5T▲4.8 7d
4.5%No IPO by December 31, 2027▲2.3 7d
4.2%<$1.25T▲1.7 7d
3.8%$3.0T+▼1.1 7d
3.6%$2.5–$2.75T▼4.4 7d
2.1%$2.75–$3.0T▼1.4 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.