Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:57 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026
Economy · settles by Dec 31, 2026

Anthropic IPO by __?

$5.1M traded on Polymarket, $43K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

December 31, 2026
77.5%
24h ▲1.07d ▲11.0
December 15, 2026
75.5%
24h 0.07d ▲12.5

How it has moved

Daily close
December 31, 2026December 15, 2026November 30, 2026
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepOct77.5%75.5%59.5%

About this market

Who prices it. $5.1M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $43K of it in the past day, with $246K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31, 2026 is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date.

Every outcome

77.5%December 31, 2026▲11.0 7d
75.5%December 15, 2026▲12.5 7d
59.5%November 30, 2026▲8.0 7d
9.6%November 15, 2026▲2.8 7d
0.3%October 31, 2026▼0.2 7d

These add up to 222%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.