UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
$43K traded on Polymarket, $27 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $43K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $27 of it in the past day, with $5K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 0.6–0.7% is 1.9 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 12, 2026, 24 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
Every outcome
These add up to 108%. Some markets allow more than one outcome to happen, and prices always carry a small overround.
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.