Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30, 2026?
$151K traded on Polymarket, $5K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $151K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $5K of it in the past day, with $52K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on November 30 is 3 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 30, 2026, 42 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the East-West oil pipeline is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.