Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:40 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026
Economy · settles by Oct 30, 2026

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

$56K traded on Polymarket, $173 in the past day. Prices are delayed.

3.0-3.5%
32.6%
24h ▲0.67d ▲6.3
2.5-3.0%
30.5%
24h ▼3.07d ▲5.0

How it has moved

Daily close
3.0-3.5%2.5-3.0%3.5%+
0%25%50%75%100%SepOct32%30.5%13.6%

About this market

Who prices it. $56K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $173 of it in the past day, with $2K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 3.0-3.5% is 0.9 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 30, 2026, 10 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

Every outcome

32.6%3.0-3.5%▲6.3 7d
30.5%2.5-3.0%▲5.0 7d
13.6%3.5%+▲9.3 7d
11.5%2.0-2.5%▼14.0 7d
4.9%1.5-2.0%▲0.9 7d
3.4%1.0-1.5%▼0.2 7d
1.8%<0.5%▼5.8 7d
1.1%0.5-1.0%0.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.