Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
$42K traded on Polymarket, $941 in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $42K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $941 of it in the past day, with $5K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 3.0%+ is 2.2 points, a moderate spread, so treat the last decimal loosely.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by January 31, 2027, 104 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.