Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:38 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027
Economy · settles by Dec 31, 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$1.0M traded on Polymarket, $2K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

5.4%
40.0%
24h ▼0.57d ▼20.0
5.5%
25.3%
24h ▲0.17d ▼7.8

How it has moved

Daily close
5.4%5.5%5.7%
0%25%50%75%100%Dec2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct39.5%25.5%14.6%

About this market

Who prices it. $1.0M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $2K of it in the past day, with $30K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on 5.4% is 2 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by December 31, 2026, 73 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

Every outcome

40.0%5.4%▼20.0 7d
25.3%5.5%▼7.8 7d
14.5%5.7%▲0.1 7d
6.5%6.0%▼0.2 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.