Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 14:59 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Economy / Bank of Mexico Decision in November
Economy · settles by Nov 5, 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

$73K traded on Polymarket, $4K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

No change
62.5%
24h ▼14.07d ▼15.0
25 bps decrease
37.5%
24h ▲18.47d ▲19.9

How it has moved

Daily close
No change25 bps decrease25 bps increase
0%25%50%75%100%SepOct62.5%33.9%2.9%

About this market

Who prices it. $73K has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $4K of it in the past day, with $12K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on No change is 1 point, so the quoted price is a fair read.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 5, 2026, 17 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Every outcome

62.5%No change▼15.0 7d
37.5%25 bps decrease▲19.9 7d
2.9%25 bps increase▼0.6 7d
0.1%50+ bps decrease0.0 7d
0.1%50+ bps increase0.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.