AI bubble burst by...?

$3.1M traded on Polymarket, $7K in the past day.

June 30, 2027

20.5^%

24h ▲1.07d ▲2.0

December 31, 2026

11.1^%

24h ▲2.17d ▲5.0

How it has moved

Daily close

June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Every outcome

20.5%June 30, 2027▲2.0 7d

11.1%December 31, 2026▲5.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) closing stock price is down 40% from its all-time high. - OpenAI, Inc. or Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - OpenAI, Inc. is acquired. - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days, as shown on the SiliconData Silicon Index at: https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index. - Major AI Hardware Supplier Collapse: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company …

Full rules and market on Polymarket

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