Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by October 31, 2026?
$1.7M traded on Polymarket, $2K in the past day. Prices are delayed.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $1.7M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $2K of it in the past day, with $9K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 7 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. The biggest move in the past week: December 31 went from 20.5% to 26.5% on October 20, 2026.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 31, 2026, 12 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.