Tuesday, October 20, 2026 Prices as of 15:57 UTC, Oct 20
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PricedNews / Tech & Science / Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by October 31, 2026
Tech & Science · settles by Oct 31, 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by October 31, 2026?

$1.7M traded on Polymarket, $2K in the past day. Prices are delayed.

December 31
27.5%
24h ▲7.57d ▼9.5
November 30
21.0%
24h ▼0.57d ▼6.0

How it has moved

Daily close
December 31November 30October 31
0%25%50%75%100%SepOct26.5%21.5%2.7%

About this market

Who prices it. $1.7M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $2K of it in the past day, with $9K in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on December 31 is 7 points, a wide spread, so the price can jump on small orders.

Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.

What has moved it. The biggest move in the past week: December 31 went from 20.5% to 26.5% on October 20, 2026.

What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by October 31, 2026, 12 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.

How it settles, in short. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Every outcome

27.5%December 31▼9.5 7d
21.0%November 30▼6.0 7d
2.6%October 31▼6.8 7d
1.9%October 23▼3.0 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

Moves we wrote up