Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

$1.7M traded on Polymarket, $5K in the past day.

November 30

21.0^%

24h ▼0.57d ▼15.5

December 31

20.0^%

24h 0.07d ▼17.0

How it has moved

Daily close

November 30December 31October 31

Every outcome

21.0%November 30▼15.5 7d

20.0%December 31▼17.0 7d

2.7%October 31▼9.8 7d

2.4%October 23▼4.6 7d

In the news

No headline in the past two days has matched this market.

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible an…

Full rules and market on Polymarket

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