California Governor Election Winner
$42.1M traded on Polymarket, $86K in the past day.
How it has moved
Daily closeAbout this market
Who prices it. $42.1M has changed hands on Polymarket since it opened, $86K of it in the past day, with $7.3M in resting orders. The gap between the best buy and sell price on Xavier Becerra is 0.7 points, so the quoted price is a fair read.
Other venues. Polymarket is the only venue we track that lists this exact question, so there's no second price to check it against.
What has moved it. No outcome has moved past our alert threshold in the past week.
What would change it. The fixed date is the deadline: it settles by November 3, 2026, 15 days away. Before then the price should mainly move on news that touches the rules below.
How it settles, in short. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Every outcome
In the news
No headline in the past two days has matched this market.